Delivery Time Forecasting for Supply Chain
How it Works
The solution powered by Pascal Studio and DataRobot is designed to create a trusted, cohesive data pipeline and use machine learning to predict where supply chain problems might emerge. It provides businesses with an end-to-end view of supply chain performance by connecting data across your supply chain within your organization to provide early warning of potential disruption.
In this solution, Pascal Studio helps customers consolidate historical supply chain, especially shipment data from numerous sources, verify data accuracy, adjusts for recent trends and create one unified view of all supply chain data in your organization. Pascal Studio also provides deep domain expertise in supply chains to identify exceptions that lead to impacted deliveries. For example, anomalies, off-trend data, lack of certain data from a particular supply chain function could all be signal for the machine learning model to predict potential issues.
DataRobot is used to analyze the data, predict delivery time for new shipments and individual containers, as well as where supply chain problems might occur. Using geolocation data, Pascal is able to train models that quickly learn about difficulties shipping to certain regions with DataRobot.
Pascal also helps you to navigate common pitfalls during modeling process for such solution. For example:
- Creating the right target variable and training period to avoid selection bias due to shipment still in-transit, or building survival model using period-by-period binary classification.
- Properly using carrier’s estimated arrival time that are generated at the right time snapshot to avoid target leakage, and updating the estimated time of arrival accordingly before forecasting.
With this solution, customers can transition from constant firefighting mode to a predictive, proactive model of supply chain management by identifying potential problems early and providing the reasons causing these issues.
Improve data quality
Create models to predict delivery time and improve on-time fulfillment
About the Partner
Pascal Studio merges supply chain domain expertise and data science expertise to drive and support successful digital transformation initiatives for customers. Pascal Studio helps you to connect data from internal and external systems across supply chain functions into one seamless view.
Here are services provided by Pascal Studio:
For one of the world’s top technology manufacturers, Pascal developed the use case to predict time to deliver for their shipment. The solution leverages information down to each shipping containers and geolocation data. The customer was also able to understand the drives behind each late shipment for different geo regions.