COVID19 prediction

DataRobot Prediction of COVID-19 on the U.S. County Level

With the fight against COVID-19 spreading across the U.S. and the world, DataRobot understands that access to accurate information can potentially better prepare federal, state, and local governments. Towards that end, DataRobot’s enterprise AI platform has developed models to predict which U.S. counties are likely to have their first confirmed COVID-19 cases.
Our Predictions
This map shows the 449 counties that are currently infected in dark blue and the predicted 50 high-risk counties in light blue. (Data updated: March 18, 2020) Next Steps: In addition to opening up its platform for COVID-19 response efforts, DataRobot is calling for new data sources to continue building on this model. If you have data or would like to contribute, please email COVID19Responseteam@datarobot.com.
Disclaimer

DataRobot has endeavored to make the information on this website as accurate as possible but cannot take responsibility for incorrect predictions. Read More

covid 19 map 1 1
How does the DataRobot model work?

DataRobot identifies patterns in demographic and socio-economic data in counties that have reported cases of the COVID-19 and uses those patterns to identify similar counties who have not. The models performed with an 88% precision rate for a five-day forecast of its top 50 predictions. Precision increases to 96% with a 10-day forecast window.

DataRobot drew from the following resources:

Johns Hopkins University’s dataset of confirmed cases

Existing U.S. county-level socioeconomic data

U.S. county geo-coordinates

News Break Coronavirus Realtime Updates

Related resources

See All Resources
Contact us with questions.
Disclaimer
DataRobot has endeavored to make the information on this website as accurate as possible but cannot take responsibility for incorrect predictions.

All of the content featured or displayed on the Website or in the Services, including without limitation text, graphics, photographs, images, moving images, sound, and illustrations (“Content”), is owned by DataRobot, its licensors, vendors, agents and/or its content providers. All elements of the Website and the Services, including without limitation the general design and the Content, are protected by trade dress, copyright, moral rights, trademark and other laws relating to intellectual property rights. The Website and the Services may only be used for the intended purpose for which such Website and Services are being made available. Except as permitted by copyright law, You may not modify any of the materials and you may not copy, distribute, transmit, display, perform, reproduce, publish, license, create derivative works from, transfer or sell any information or work contained on the Website. Except as authorized under the copyright laws, you are responsible for obtaining permission before reusing any copyrighted material that is available on the Website or in the Services. You shall comply with all applicable domestic and international laws, statutes, ordinances and regulations regarding your use of the Website. The Website, the Services, its Content and all related rights shall remain the exclusive property of DataRobot or its licensors unless otherwise expressly agreed. You will not remove any copyright, trademark or other proprietary notices from material found on the Website or the Services.