COVID19 prediction

DataRobot Prediction of COVID-19 on the U.S. County Level

With the fight against COVID-19 spreading across the U.S. and the world, DataRobot understands that access to accurate information can potentially better prepare federal, state, and local governments. Towards that end, DataRobot’s AI Cloud platform has developed models to predict which U.S. counties are likely to have their first confirmed COVID-19 cases.
Our Predictions
This map shows the 449 counties that are currently infected in dark blue and the predicted 50 high-risk counties in light blue. (Data updated: March 18, 2020) Next Steps: In addition to opening up its platform for COVID-19 response efforts, DataRobot is calling for new data sources to continue building on this model. If you have data or would like to contribute, please email

DataRobot has endeavored to make the information on this website as accurate as possible but cannot take responsibility for incorrect predictions. Read More

covid 19 map 1 1
How does the DataRobot model work?

DataRobot identifies patterns in demographic and socio-economic data in counties that have reported cases of the COVID-19 and uses those patterns to identify similar counties who have not. The models performed with an 88% precision rate for a five-day forecast of its top 50 predictions. Precision increases to 96% with a 10-day forecast window.

DataRobot drew from the following resources:

Johns Hopkins University’s dataset of confirmed cases

Existing U.S. county-level socioeconomic data

U.S. county geo-coordinates

News Break Coronavirus Realtime Updates

Contact us with questions.

DataRobot has endeavored to make the information on this website as accurate as possible but cannot take responsibility for incorrect predictions.

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